Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.628422 4.023582 4.452970 4.955721 5.530133 6.168167 6.933562
2025-07-27 3.119436 3.658877 4.287319 5.079403 6.059360 7.242818 8.796723
2025-08-03 2.776131 3.390822 4.144293 5.147798 6.467489 8.169816 10.575218
2025-08-10 2.515363 3.171760 4.009492 5.176084 6.789465 8.989476 12.301637
2025-08-17 2.245356 2.902533 3.768289 5.017550 6.817218 9.386311 13.466544
2025-08-24 2.055234 2.715739 3.610766 4.944277 6.938194 9.908063 14.869117
2025-08-31 1.910260 2.574671 3.498323 4.915505 7.109131 10.509910 16.472909
2025-09-07 1.836009 2.524280 3.506130 5.058434 7.548621 11.574498 19.008139
2025-09-14 1.726502 2.412896 3.413213 5.034831 7.715999 12.209262 20.888592
2025-09-21 1.623130 2.301998 3.310588 4.983294 7.826754 12.753907 22.685430
2025-09-28 1.489884 2.136789 3.112143 4.758345 7.617700 12.703979 23.309419
2025-10-05 1.430648 2.080408 3.078129 4.799403 7.871467 13.521613 25.829483
2025-10-12 1.384662 2.043147 3.074032 4.894675 8.240727 14.623292 29.218413
2025-10-19 1.344508 2.012321 3.077808 5.003575 8.647758 15.859613 33.194725
2025-10-26 1.299128 1.969747 3.058402 5.068412 8.976824 16.984433 37.175004
2025-11-02 1.250721 1.918867 3.020832 5.095756 9.233684 17.992573 41.110926
2025-11-09 1.175096 1.818204 2.891062 4.940163 9.102805 18.128682 42.781509
2025-11-16 1.119297 1.747778 2.809263 4.868263 9.136413 18.640143 45.610599
2025-11-23 1.074573 1.693709 2.752737 4.840032 9.258636 19.375189 49.276739
2025-11-30 1.058264 1.687557 2.781135 4.980257 9.761239 21.105397 56.461610
2025-12-07 1.019310 1.639595 2.730335 4.957101 9.896804 21.942350 61.066540
2025-12-14 0.979148 1.587429 2.668618 4.906540 9.963971 22.613556 65.327857
2025-12-21 0.918785 1.496440 2.529688 4.685823 9.612242 22.121930 65.364779